In order to ensure that the future of Ukraine & Europe is peace, not simply Russia rebuilding its forces and striking again in a few years, a precondition for the end of the war in Ukraine, and therefore for peace, must be Ukraine’s victory against Russia. However, how victory will be achieved, and peace negotiated, is up to the Ukrainians to determine.
In this panel, Claudia Major (Head of the International Security Division at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs), Hanna Shelest (Director of Security Programmes at the Foreign Policy Council “Ukrainian Prism” and Editor-in-Chief at UA: Ukraine Analytica), Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff (Vice President and Executive Director of the Berlin Office at the German Marshall Fund) and Aleksey Arestovich (Adviser to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine) discuss:
-Can negotiations happen before the fall of Putin? What must happen before they are possible?
-What are Ukrainians facing currently and how will Ukraine survive winter?
-What are the differences in how Ukrainians vs Westerners perceive the war?
-Strategic challenges, combating drones and current & future investment into Ukraine
-Iranian and Chinese partnerships with Russia -What kind of weaponry does Ukraine need right now?
Moderator: Kimberly Dozier, Contributor at TIME Magazine
00:00 Introducing the topic
2:02 An address by Olha Stefanishyna, Deputy Prime Minister for European and Euro-Atlantic Integration
8:24 Introducting the panelists
9:00 What must happen before negotiations with Russia can begin? Talks vs. negotiations
17:15: What are Ukrainians facing on the ground right now?
20:10 Surviving the upcoming winter
24:55 Ukrainian vs. Western perceptions of the war
28:05 Is Ukraine getting what they need?
33:40 When can Ukrainian reconstruction begin? Current & future investments into Ukraine 37:30 The timing of investments
39:50 Iranian assistance to Russia & war fatigue in Ukrainian-allied countries
45:00 What are the weapons Ukraine needs most right now?
51:05 Ukraine’s hopes regarding China’s role in the war & in post-war reconstruction
54:20 What would change regarding European support if Ukraine took the war into Russia?